Some years this is not as consequential as others.  But in 2023 this is huge.  If CPI comes in underneath what was forecast, the market will celebrate.  But if CPI comes in above what has been forecast, the market will sell off (give or take any "whisper-effect" where the market reacts to expected news a […]

The day the Fed releases the interest rate decision is usually incredibly consequential, but not in a predictable way.  The best thing to do is think about it as a pendulum.  Pushing the market towards reacting bullishly are things like: The Fed Chairman talks about how strong the economy is during his speech, highlighting things […]

This is an event that happens 4 times each year, when all index and single stock futures contracts expire AND index and single stock options expire, on the same exact day.  The effect of this can be bearish because the contracts that are expiring are sold off and create a larger supply of sales than […]